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MKS PAMP Group - Europe/US Market Update

RANGES: Europe/US Markets: 

3-Feb-17
GOLD
SILVER
PLATINUM
PALLADIUM
Bid
Offer
Bid
Offer
Bid
Offer
Bid
Offer
OPEN
1213.15
1213.65
17.3025
17.3325
991.40
994.40
751.30
754.30
HIGH
1221.35
1221.85
17.5175
17.5475
1003.10
1006.10
753.90
756.90
LOW
1206.55
1207.05
17.2475
17.2775
984.50
987.50
740.45
743.45
CLOSE
1219.35
1219.85
17.4625
17.4925
1002.15
1005.15
748.50
751.50
EFP
1.50
1.60
-0.0025
0.0075
2.00
3.00
-0.75
0.25
LBMA Prices AM/PM
1213.05
1215.20
17.280
992.00
992.00
749.00
747.00
Active Contract
GCJ7 Comdty
SIH7 Comdty
PLJ7 Comdty
PAH7 Comdty



MACRO:
 

- US equities were higher on mixed payroll data and President Trump signing an executive order aimed at rolling back the Dodd-Frank Act. 
- The Dow found its way back over 20k and the Nasdaq posted a fresh record high. 
The Dow Jones advanced 186.55 points, the S&P 500 firmed 16.57 points, whilst the Nasdaq added 30.569 points. 
- There were wins for financials (+2%), energy (+0.93%), and industrials (+0.89%). whilst discretionary (-0.1%) was the lone laggard. 
- European shares were higher, the EuroSTOXX gained 0.6%, the German DAX rose 0.2%whilst the UK FTSE added 0.7%. 
- The VIX gauge lost 8.1% to 10.97. 
- The dollar index crept up 0.08% to 99.868, the EUR traded down to 1.0761, whilst USD JPY traded up to 113.20. 
- US treasury yields were lower, 2 year yields lost 0.8 bps to 1.197% whilst 10 year yields shed 0.9 bps to 2.465%. 
- Oil markets were higher, Brent put on 0.3% to $56.74 whilst WTI firmed 0.6% to $53.85. 
- Base metals were mostly lower, with copper (1.9%) the biggest loser. 
- In US economic data, non-farm payrolls grew 227k during January, the largest increase in 4 months and well ahead of the markets 180k expectation. 
- Private payrolls added 237k, well ahead of the 175k estimate, and the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.8%. 
- Wage growth was weak, average hourly earnings up 0.1% m/m vs a 0.3% estimate, whilst y/y wage growth slowed to 2.5%. 
- The slow wage growth raised concerns that the FOMC may not raise interest rates in March. 
- The ISM non-manufacturing index fell to 56.5% in January from 56.6 in December. 
- The Markit non-manufacturing PMI rose to 55.6, its highest reading since November 2015. 
- US factory orders increased 1.3% in December, outpacing the forecast 0.5%. 
- In Chinese economic news, the PBoC raised the 7-day reverse repo rate by 10 bps to 2.35%, suggesting the central bank will adopt a flexible rates regime in 2017. 

PRECIOUS: 

- Strong session for the precious as the weak wage growth data created FOMC rate hike uncertainty. 
- Choppy trade during Asian hours saw the yellow metal end up where it started on the first trading day back from the Chinese New Year holiday. 
- London were sellers early on, pushing the market down to test the $1210 level. 
- The US dollar dropped on the US jobs report which prompted gold to rally sharply to the days high of 1221.35. 
- There was a dip in NY afternoon trading but the market recovered to finish just under $1220. 
- The Philadelphia gold and silver index fell 0.2%. 
- PGMs were mixed, platinum found enough support to close above $1000 whilst palladium ended lower for the day. 
- Gold ETFs bought 143k ozs 

PRE-ASIA COMMENTS 

- Gold finding the bid in early Asian trade. 
- Asian markets open higher on Wall St's lead. 
- Ahead today: 
EU Retail PMI 
Germany Factory Orders 
Germany Construction PMI 
ECB Draghi Speech 

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