MKS PAMP Group - Europe/US Market Update
RANGES: Europe/US Markets:
3-Feb-17
|
GOLD
|
SILVER
|
PLATINUM
|
PALLADIUM
|
Bid
|
Offer
|
Bid
|
Offer
|
Bid
|
Offer
|
Bid
|
Offer
|
OPEN
|
1213.15
|
1213.65
|
17.3025
|
17.3325
|
991.40
|
994.40
|
751.30
|
754.30
|
HIGH
|
1221.35
|
1221.85
|
17.5175
|
17.5475
|
1003.10
|
1006.10
|
753.90
|
756.90
|
LOW
|
1206.55
|
1207.05
|
17.2475
|
17.2775
|
984.50
|
987.50
|
740.45
|
743.45
|
CLOSE
|
1219.35
|
1219.85
|
17.4625
|
17.4925
|
1002.15
|
1005.15
|
748.50
|
751.50
|
EFP
|
1.50
|
1.60
|
-0.0025
|
0.0075
|
2.00
|
3.00
|
-0.75
|
0.25
|
LBMA Prices AM/PM
|
1213.05
|
1215.20
|
17.280
|
992.00
|
992.00
|
749.00
|
747.00
|
Active Contract
|
GCJ7 Comdty
|
SIH7 Comdty
|
PLJ7 Comdty
|
PAH7 Comdty
|
MACRO:
- US equities were higher on mixed payroll data and President Trump signing an executive order aimed at rolling back the Dodd-Frank Act.
- The Dow found its way back over 20k and the Nasdaq posted a fresh record high.
- The Dow Jones advanced 186.55 points, the S&P 500 firmed 16.57 points, whilst the Nasdaq added 30.569 points.
- There were wins for financials (+2%), energy (+0.93%), and industrials (+0.89%). whilst discretionary (-0.1%) was the lone laggard.
- European shares were higher, the EuroSTOXX gained 0.6%, the German DAX rose 0.2%, whilst the UK FTSE added 0.7%.
- The VIX gauge lost 8.1% to 10.97.
- The dollar index crept up 0.08% to 99.868, the EUR traded down to 1.0761, whilst USD JPY traded up to 113.20.
- US treasury yields were lower, 2 year yields lost 0.8 bps to 1.197% whilst 10 year yields shed 0.9 bps to 2.465%.
- Oil markets were higher, Brent put on 0.3% to $56.74 whilst WTI firmed 0.6% to $53.85.
- Base metals were mostly lower, with copper (1.9%) the biggest loser.
- In US economic data, non-farm payrolls grew 227k during January, the largest increase in 4 months and well ahead of the markets 180k expectation.
- Private payrolls added 237k, well ahead of the 175k estimate, and the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.8%.
- Wage growth was weak, average hourly earnings up 0.1% m/m vs a 0.3% estimate, whilst y/y wage growth slowed to 2.5%.
- The slow wage growth raised concerns that the FOMC may not raise interest rates in March.
- The ISM non-manufacturing index fell to 56.5% in January from 56.6 in December.
- The Markit non-manufacturing PMI rose to 55.6, its highest reading since November 2015.
- US factory orders increased 1.3% in December, outpacing the forecast 0.5%.
- In Chinese economic news, the PBoC raised the 7-day reverse repo rate by 10 bps to 2.35%, suggesting the central bank will adopt a flexible rates regime in 2017.
PRECIOUS:
- Strong session for the precious as the weak wage growth data created FOMC rate hike uncertainty.
- Choppy trade during Asian hours saw the yellow metal end up where it started on the first trading day back from the Chinese New Year holiday.
- London were sellers early on, pushing the market down to test the $1210 level.
- The US dollar dropped on the US jobs report which prompted gold to rally sharply to the days high of 1221.35.
- There was a dip in NY afternoon trading but the market recovered to finish just under $1220.
- The Philadelphia gold and silver index fell 0.2%.
- PGMs were mixed, platinum found enough support to close above $1000 whilst palladium ended lower for the day.
- Gold ETFs bought 143k ozs
PRE-ASIA COMMENTS
- Gold finding the bid in early Asian trade.
- Asian markets open higher on Wall St's lead.
- Ahead today:
EU Retail PMI
Germany Factory Orders
Germany Construction PMI
ECB Draghi Speech